Prime retail rents to see further recovery in 2023, with Orchard Road leading the way

The improvement of the Singapore retail industry market obtained momentum in the latter part of previous year, regards to social distancing strategies being relaxed and boundaries restarting. “The retail field endured and has indeed survived a very difficult time of unparalleled obstacle, only commencing to get traction from the removal of actions from 2Q2022 onwards,” comments Ethan Hsu, Knight Frank Singapore’s head of retail.

Edmund Tie’s record also points out that in 3Q2022, islandwide final absorption for retail places appeared at 323,000 sq ft, a four-fold surge from the 86,000 sq ft registered the preceding quarter, signalling reinforcing need.

A separate statement by Edmund Tie Research also highlights information further pointing to the conditioning of demand for retail rooms in the Orchard area. Based on retail properties tracked by the consultancy, prime first-storey retail area on Orchard and also Scotts Road viewed the toughest rental buildup of 7.4% for the whole of 2022 to $39.20 psf per month. In the edge including suburban areas, rentals grew by 6.7% in 2022 to $33.10 psf per month, while in other city areas, it increased by 3.7% to $19.20 psf monthly, based upon Edmund Tie’s data.

Knight Frank’s Hsu is also predicting prime retail leas to continue increasing this year, indicating that the retail field is “in a far better position right now”, also thinking about the increase in the Goods and Services Tax (GST) furthermore a more low-key financial outlook. “So long as there are no measurements limits to events along with quarantine responsibilities for cross boundary arrivals, prime rentals of retail room are most likely to expand in between 3% and 5% for the whole of 2023, with the prime shopping belt Orchard Road leading the recovery,” he predicts.

According to records assembled by Knight Frank Research, prime market rents island-wide climbed up 1.7% q-o-q in 4Q2022 to hit around $26.10 psf per month. This brings full-year prime retail leasing development to 2.6% for 2022.

The Continuum floor plan

Lam Chern Woon, head of research and consulting at Edmund Tie, anticipates a more vibrant year forward for the retail estate market, helped by the proceeded recovery in the tourism market. “With the bulk of the source pipe slated to find onstream in 2023, consisting of The Woodleigh Shopping mall, and even retail outlets at One Holland Village, Guoco Midtown as well as IOI Central, the supply-demand dynamics are expected to be balanced this year,” he adds.

In its 4Q2022 retail statement, Knight Frank indicates that prime retail rooms in the Orchard Road area blazed a trail in relations to rental progress, laying out a boost of 3.1% y-o-y in 4Q2022 to $29.10 psf each month, adhered to by prime retail area in the Marina Centre, City Hall together with Bugis sub-market which signed up a growth of 2.6% y-o-y to $23.90 psf per month. The rise in rentals was sustained by an increase in international visitors arrivings, in addition to the return of laborers returned to the workplace.

The consultancy is predicting prime first-storey retail rentals in Orchard along with Scotts Road to preserve its progression of in between 7% also 9% in 2023, while leas in different retail sub-markets are prepared for to grow between 3% and also 6%.

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